# Selfloss

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 1086620
- Developer: Goodwin Games
- Publisher: Silver Lining Interactive
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Action · List price: $24.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $998 to $1.5k per month (mid $1.2k)
- Opportunity score: $1.7k/month at x1.35 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 8.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $58.4k
- Review sentiment: 78% positive across 301 reviews (250 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 6.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 15 months
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 16 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 10 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $2.3k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $2.0k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.8k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.2k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (23 months)

87, 9, 8, 13, 14, 10, 5, 5, 11, 4, 5, 8, 3, 7, 3, 9, 11, 6, 9, 8, 7, 2, 9

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 3 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 23 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$1.4k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Estimated acquisition range

$30.0k to $59.9k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $15.0k/year). Same error range applies.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/1086620
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.