# Heat and Run

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 1225790
- Developer: DAMNATIO GAMES
- Released: 2022 · Genre: Action · List price: $10.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $740 to $1.1k per month (mid $925)
- Opportunity score: $2.0k/month at x2.15 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 896 · Est. lifetime net revenue: $2.5k
- Review sentiment: 93% positive across 30 reviews (28 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 13.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 2.8 years
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 28 months ago
- Store page localized in only 2 language(s)
- Last discounted 8 months ago, 2 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.7k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.5k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.3k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $925 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (2 months)

26, 1

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 2 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$925 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Estimated acquisition range

$22.2k to $44.4k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $11.1k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 50%
- english: 50% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 50% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: english). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/1225790
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
