# 大鹏 - The Roc

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 1389900
- Developer: 折扶桑制作组
- Publisher: LoveStoryProject
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $4.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $88 to $131 per month (mid $109)
- Opportunity score: $109/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 4.3k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $6.3k
- Review sentiment: 93% positive across 178 reviews (134 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 3.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 3 months ago
- Last build shipped 3 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $199 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $173 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $156 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $109 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (20 months)

47, 10, 6, 5, 5, 11, 8, 5, 4, 2, 1, 4, 5, 3, 2, 4, 5, 2, 2, 3

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/1389900
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
