# Meridian 157: Chapter 1

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 1458920
- Developer: NovaSoft Interactive Ltd.
- Released: 2020 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $3.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $226 to $339 per month (mid $282)
- Opportunity score: $282/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 10.9k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $9.3k
- Review sentiment: 93% positive across 369 reviews (363 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 13.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 5 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (4 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 5 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 4 sales in the last 12 months
- Proven demand elasticity: x3.2 review velocity during past deep sales

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $512 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $446 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $404 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $282 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (24 months)

10, 5, 4, 2, 3, 6, 5, 6, 2, 2, 3, 5, 3, 6, 2, 3, 1, 3, 3, 30, 18, 10, 10, 8

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 9 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 24 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$395 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.2 taken from this game's own sale history. Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/1458920
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.