# The Trolley Problem Game

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 1521330
- Developer: Newfa LLC
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $3.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $192 to $288 per month (mid $240)
- Opportunity score: $384/month at x1.60 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $1.8k
- Review sentiment: 78% positive across 45 reviews (43 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 7.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- No developer announcement on record, ever
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 18 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $435 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $379 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $343 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $240 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (6 months)

34, 4, 2, 1, 1, 1

## Estimated acquisition range

$5.8k to $11.5k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $2.9k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 98%
- brazilian: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/1521330
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.