# Survive the Fall

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 1579340
- Developer: Angry Bulls Studio
- Publisher: Toplitz Productions
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $24.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $950 to $1.4k per month (mid $1.2k)
- Opportunity score: $1.2k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 18.7k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $156.9k
- Review sentiment: 68% positive across 676 reviews (585 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 5.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 8 months ago
- Last build shipped 12 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 10 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $2.2k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.9k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.7k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.2k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (15 months)

359, 76, 22, 24, 20, 9, 19, 12, 14, 6, 13, 2, 4, 6, 3

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 1 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 15 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$8.0k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- german: 9%
- english: 39%
- russian: 15%
- japanese: 5%
- brazilian: 2%
- french: 5%
- koreana: 8%
- spanish: 2%
- schinese: 16%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/1579340
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
