# Tamarak Trail

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 1591220
- Developer: Yarrow Games
- Publisher: Versus Evil
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Indie · List price: $14.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $175 to $263 per month (mid $219)
- Opportunity score: $416/month at x1.90 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 2.7k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $11.6k
- Review sentiment: 74% positive across 114 reviews (83 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 2.2 years
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 26 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 10 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $398 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $346 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $313 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $219 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (20 months)

4, 44, 4, 0, 3, 0, 1, 5, 2, 3, 3, 1, 1, 1, 3, 5, 2, 1, 1, 0

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 5 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 20 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$2.8k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Estimated acquisition range

$5.3k to $10.5k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $2.6k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- russian: 14%
- spanish: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 1%
- german: 4%
- schinese: 14%
- brazilian: 1%
- french: 7%
- english: 53%
- koreana: 4%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/1591220
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.