# Hail to the Rainbow

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 1699230
- Developer: Носков Сергей
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $14.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $14.0k to $20.9k per month (mid $17.4k)
- Opportunity score: $17.4k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 78.9k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $396.6k
- Review sentiment: 91% positive across 2691 reviews (2466 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 138.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (4 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 0 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 6 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $31.7k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $27.6k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $24.9k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $17.4k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (9 months)

540, 708, 362, 307, 138, 139, 103, 55, 91

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 3 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 9 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$101.2k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 16%
- russian: 79%
- japanese: 0%
- brazilian: 0%
- french: 1%
- german: 2%
- koreana: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 1%
- schinese: 1%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/1699230
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.