# Luto

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 1729740
- Developer: Broken Bird Games
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $19.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $3.5k to $5.2k per month (mid $4.4k)
- Opportunity score: $4.4k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 38.8k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $260.2k
- Review sentiment: 85% positive across 1346 reviews (1213 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 26.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 1 months ago
- Last build shipped 1 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 5 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $7.9k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $6.9k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $6.2k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $4.4k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (13 months)

516, 228, 91, 71, 77, 41, 35, 27, 33, 18, 14, 20, 44

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 3 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 13 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$52.6k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- koreana: 0%
- spanish: 20%
- brazilian: 3%
- french: 4%
- russian: 6%
- japanese: 1%
- schinese: 4%
- german: 9%
- english: 52%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/1729740
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.