# Atomic Picnic

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 1903560
- Developer: BitCake Studio
- Publisher: Mad Mushroom
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Action · List price: $19.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $448 to $672 per month (mid $560)
- Opportunity score: $560/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 14.1k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $82.7k
- Review sentiment: 75% positive across 561 reviews (442 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 3.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 1 months ago
- Last build shipped 1 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 11 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.0k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $884 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $800 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $560 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (20 months)

260, 44, 21, 25, 14, 9, 11, 16, 10, 7, 4, 6, 4, 4, 5, 4, 2, 5, 2, 5

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 4 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 20 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$22.8k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- schinese: 3%
- german: 2%
- koreana: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 8%
- brazilian: 9%
- french: 2%
- english: 73%
- spanish: 1%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/1903560
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.