# Whisper Mountain Outbreak

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 1953230
- Developer: Toge Productions
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $7.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $3.1k to $4.7k per month (mid $3.9k)
- Opportunity score: $3.9k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 76.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $204.6k
- Review sentiment: 85% positive across 2581 reviews (2387 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 58.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 1 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (5 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 1 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 10 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $7.1k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $6.1k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $5.6k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $3.9k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (12 months)

1108, 289, 148, 183, 171, 147, 48, 80, 97, 39, 41, 43

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 1 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 12 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$6.1k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 2%
- english: 53%
- spanish: 7%
- japanese: 4%
- brazilian: 9%
- german: 1%
- koreana: 5%
- russian: 5%
- schinese: 15%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/1953230
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
