# Darfall

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 1961600
- Developer: SquareNite
- Publisher: Paradox Arc
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Indie · List price: $24.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $838 to $1.3k per month (mid $1.0k)
- Opportunity score: $1.4k/month at x1.35 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 15.6k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $130.6k
- Review sentiment: 72% positive across 500 reviews (487 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 5.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 14 months
- Last build shipped 7 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.9k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.7k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.5k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.0k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (15 months)

334, 37, 25, 17, 6, 11, 10, 9, 10, 1, 2, 6, 7, 8, 6

## Estimated acquisition range

$25.1k to $50.3k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $12.6k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 2%
- german: 6%
- english: 71%
- spanish: 2%
- schinese: 9%
- koreana: 4%
- russian: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 1%
- brazilian: 2%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/1961600
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
