# Tales of the Shire: A The Lord of The Rings™ Game

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2016460
- Developer: Wētā Workshop
- Publisher: Fictions
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $34.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $9.8k to $14.7k per month (mid $12.2k)
- Opportunity score: $12.2k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 102.9k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $1.2M
- Review sentiment: 82% positive across 3772 reviews (3216 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 41.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 10 months ago
- Last build shipped 5 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 8 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $22.2k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $19.3k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $17.5k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $12.2k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (13 months)

1468, 856, 193, 84, 216, 119, 51, 45, 58, 36, 29, 53, 29

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 13 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$222.8k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- spanish: 2%
- french: 6%
- german: 7%
- russian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 0%
- schinese: 1%
- brazilian: 2%
- english: 80%
- koreana: 0%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2016460
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.