# WARCANA

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2022930
- Developer: 1000 Orks
- Publisher: Team17
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Indie · List price: $21.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $450 to $675 per month (mid $562)
- Opportunity score: $731/month at x1.30 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 14.1k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $90.9k
- Review sentiment: 63% positive across 506 reviews (442 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 3.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 5 months ago
- Last build shipped 22 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 7 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.0k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $888 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $804 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $562 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (22 months)

296, 63, 14, 8, 10, 2, 5, 6, 0, 4, 8, 8, 0, 4, 4, 2, 2, 5, 2, 1, 9, 2

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 3 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 22 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$6.1k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Estimated acquisition range

$13.5k to $27.0k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $6.7k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 3%
- german: 8%
- english: 49%
- brazilian: 1%
- koreana: 2%
- russian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 1%
- japanese: 19%
- schinese: 16%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2022930
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.