# Chernobylite 2: Exclusion Zone

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2075100
- Developer: The Farm 51
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $39.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $2.4k to $3.6k per month (mid $3.0k)
- Opportunity score: $3.0k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 16.7k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $224.4k
- Review sentiment: 65% positive across 756 reviews (523 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 8.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 4 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (7 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 7 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 8 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $5.4k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $4.7k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $4.2k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $3.0k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (17 months)

292, 25, 11, 11, 22, 35, 24, 26, 17, 13, 9, 16, 12, 8, 4, 6, 7

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 4 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 17 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$55.1k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- german: 9%
- english: 49%
- koreana: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 17%
- russian: 18%
- spanish: 2%
- japanese: 1%
- brazilian: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 1%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2075100
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.