# The Lies We Tell Ourselves

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2176460
- Developer: Poopsy
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $7.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $161 to $241 per month (mid $201)
- Opportunity score: $332/month at x1.65 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 3.2k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $8.5k
- Review sentiment: 72% positive across 125 reviews (99 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 3.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 19 months
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 19 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $365 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $317 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $287 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $201 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (12 months)

61, 7, 3, 2, 3, 3, 7, 4, 3, 2, 1, 1

## Estimated acquisition range

$4.8k to $9.6k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $2.4k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 55%
- russian: 10%
- spanish: 1%
- japanese: 3%
- schinese: 14% (game NOT localized in this language)
- brazilian: 2%
- french: 4%
- german: 11%

Localization gap: 14% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: schinese). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2176460
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.