# Toads of the Bayou

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2190400
- Developer: La Grange
- Publisher: Fireshine Games
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Indie · List price: $9.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $146 to $219 per month (mid $183)
- Opportunity score: $301/month at x1.65 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 4.3k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $12.6k
- Review sentiment: 75% positive across 160 reviews (135 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 20 months
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 20 months ago
- Store page localized in only 4 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $331 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $288 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $261 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $183 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (19 months)

73, 14, 3, 2, 2, 5, 1, 6, 1, 2, 5, 3, 5, 3, 2, 2, 1, 5, 2

## Estimated acquisition range

$4.4k to $8.8k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $2.2k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- brazilian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 8%
- german: 1%
- english: 81%
- russian: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 5%
- japanese: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2190400
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.