# Seer's Gambit

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2219450
- Developer: Unleash The Giraffe
- Released: 2024 · Genre: RPG · List price: $14.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $278 to $416 per month (mid $347)
- Opportunity score: $347/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 15.6k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $68.4k
- Review sentiment: 76% positive across 529 reviews (488 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 3.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 4 months ago
- Last build shipped 4 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $630 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $548 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $496 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $347 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (19 months)

333, 40, 38, 6, 9, 10, 5, 33, 7, 1, 5, 5, 2, 5, 1, 6, 3, 2, 2

## Markets by review language

- german: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 24%
- koreana: 7%
- spanish: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 1%
- schinese: 66%
- brazilian: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2219450
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.