# Noobs Are Coming

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2225960
- Developer: Overboy
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $7.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $1.7k to $2.6k per month (mid $2.2k)
- Opportunity score: $2.2k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 49.7k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $133.1k
- Review sentiment: 83% positive across 1588 reviews (1552 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 32.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 8 months ago
- Last build shipped 2 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 12 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $3.9k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $3.4k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $3.1k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $2.2k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (13 months)

304, 136, 126, 68, 201, 439, 128, 64, 42, 37, 22, 16, 12

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 1 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 13 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$6.7k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- german: 8%
- english: 62%
- russian: 9%
- schinese: 5%
- brazilian: 2%
- koreana: 2%
- spanish: 3%
- japanese: 1%
- french: 8%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2225960
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.