# OVIS LOOP

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2226730
- Developer: LIFUEL
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $16.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $2.3k to $3.4k per month (mid $2.8k)
- Opportunity score: $2.8k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 34.5k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $196.7k
- Review sentiment: 89% positive across 1197 reviews (1079 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 19.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 1 months ago
- Last build shipped 2 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 8 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $5.1k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $4.5k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $4.0k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $2.8k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (12 months)

699, 93, 63, 36, 41, 46, 15, 8, 66, 8, 9, 13

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 12 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$5.8k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- russian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 47%
- french: 1%
- english: 17%
- koreana: 21%
- spanish: 1%
- japanese: 10%
- brazilian: 1%
- german: 1%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2226730
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
