# IfSunSets

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2271930
- Developer: POLYMORPH
- Publisher: Smilegate
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Action · List price: $19.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $5.0k to $7.5k per month (mid $6.2k)
- Opportunity score: $6.2k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 68.7k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $401.5k
- Review sentiment: 75% positive across 2350 reviews (2147 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 42.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Last build shipped 0 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 10 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $11.3k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $9.8k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $8.9k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $6.2k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (21 months)

712, 196, 128, 91, 135, 145, 71, 68, 132, 56, 48, 51, 28, 47, 30, 24, 26, 40, 70, 72, 23

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 3 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 21 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$59.0k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 3%
- german: 7%
- koreana: 16%
- schinese: 21%
- english: 36%
- russian: 12%
- spanish: 2%
- japanese: 2%
- brazilian: 1%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2271930
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.