# Fellowship

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2352620
- Developer: Chief Rebel
- Publisher: Coffee Stain Publishing
- Released: 2025 · Genre: RPG · List price: $24.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $44.0k to $65.9k per month (mid $55.0k)
- Opportunity score: $55.0k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 487.1k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $4.1M
- Review sentiment: 75% positive across 17533 reviews (15222 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 262.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 8 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $99.8k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $86.8k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $78.6k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $55.0k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (10 months)

11027, 2213, 504, 326, 509, 180, 69, 55, 480, 281

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 1 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 10 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$34.1k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- schinese: 5%
- brazilian: 2%
- koreana: 1%
- spanish: 2%
- japanese: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 4%
- german: 6%
- english: 69%
- russian: 11%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2352620
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
