# Mudborne: Frog Management Sim

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2355150
- Developer: ellraiser
- Publisher: Future Friends Games
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $7.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $1.4k to $2.1k per month (mid $1.7k)
- Opportunity score: $1.7k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 31.6k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $84.5k
- Review sentiment: 97% positive across 1065 reviews (986 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 26.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (3 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 0 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $3.2k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $2.8k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $2.5k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.7k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (17 months)

355, 115, 48, 32, 45, 31, 15, 23, 89, 24, 61, 38, 31, 19, 14, 30, 24

## Markets by review language

- french: 1%
- english: 84%
- koreana: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 3%
- brazilian: 1%
- german: 1%
- spanish: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 6%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2355150
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
