# Settlements Rising

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2378910
- Developer: The Catalyst Crew
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Indie · List price: $18.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $700 to $1.1k per month (mid $876)
- Opportunity score: $876/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 13.2k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $84.4k
- Review sentiment: 81% positive across 434 reviews (414 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 5.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 7 months ago
- Last build shipped 6 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 8 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.6k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.4k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.3k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $876 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (22 months)

75, 19, 8, 153, 27, 19, 13, 12, 4, 14, 4, 6, 9, 17, 11, 3, 7, 5, 9, 5, 4, 3

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 4 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 22 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$2.7k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 5%
- german: 7%
- english: 50%
- koreana: 10%
- japanese: 2%
- brazilian: 4%
- russian: 12%
- spanish: 3%
- schinese: 8%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2378910
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.