# Azure Orphanage

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2398590
- Developer: cominami
- Publisher: OTAKU Plan
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $16.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $232 to $348 per month (mid $290)
- Opportunity score: $377/month at x1.30 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.9k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $9.4k
- Review sentiment: 85% positive across 86 reviews (59 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 6 months ago
- Last build shipped 25 months ago
- Store page localized in only 3 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $526 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $458 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $414 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $290 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (19 months)

22, 10, 3, 2, 3, 2, 1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 2, 3, 2, 2, 2, 3, 2

## Estimated acquisition range

$7.0k to $13.9k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $3.5k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- german: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 23%
- russian: 4% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 6%
- schinese: 62%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2398590
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
