# 仿生羊游戏

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2406150
- Developer: Motopia Studio
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $1.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $78 to $117 per month (mid $97)
- Opportunity score: $156/month at x1.60 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.1k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $726
- Review sentiment: 85% positive across 46 reviews (34 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 5.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 17 months
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 17 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)
- Last discounted 11 months ago, 2 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $177 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $154 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $139 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $97 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (6 months)

22, 4, 1, 3, 4, 1

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 1 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 6 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$33 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2406150
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.