# Goodnight Universe

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2416100
- Developer: Nice Dream
- Publisher: Skybound Games
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $19.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $7.1k to $10.7k per month (mid $8.9k)
- Opportunity score: $8.9k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 41.2k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $275.8k
- Review sentiment: 97% positive across 1376 reviews (1286 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 53.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 8 months ago
- Last build shipped 8 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 7 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $16.2k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $14.1k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $12.8k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $8.9k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (9 months)

591, 263, 125, 68, 91, 54, 32, 37, 38

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 1 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 9 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$49.5k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 89%
- japanese: 0%
- schinese: 3%
- french: 2%
- german: 2%
- koreana: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 1%
- brazilian: 1%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2416100
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.