# Dagger Directive

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2437670
- Developer: Arcane Alpacas LLC
- Publisher: MicroProse Software
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Action · List price: $19.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $2.8k to $4.2k per month (mid $3.5k)
- Opportunity score: $3.5k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 22.9k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $153.4k
- Review sentiment: 82% positive across 787 reviews (715 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 20.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Last build shipped 0 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 7 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $6.3k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $5.5k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $5.0k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $3.5k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (14 months)

219, 60, 59, 48, 24, 21, 36, 26, 35, 22, 14, 24, 10, 19

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 14 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$3.9k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 1%
- english: 81%
- koreana: 1%
- brazilian: 1%
- german: 3%
- russian: 6%
- spanish: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 1%
- schinese: 5%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2437670
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.