# Tiny Kingdom

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2438260
- Developer: neltile
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $10.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $258 to $387 per month (mid $322)
- Opportunity score: $322/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 4.8k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $17.6k
- Review sentiment: 78% positive across 153 reviews (149 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 3.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 11 months ago
- Last build shipped 11 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 10 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $585 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $509 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $461 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $322 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (17 months)

55, 38, 9, 7, 2, 1, 3, 5, 1, 6, 2, 5, 4, 1, 2, 7, 2

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 3 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 17 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$2.9k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- koreana: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 10%
- spanish: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 3%
- schinese: 5%
- french: 5%
- german: 3%
- english: 72%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2438260
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.