# Forza Motorsport

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2440510
- Developer: Turn 10
- Publisher: Xbox Game Studios
- Released: 2023 · Genre: Racing · List price: $69.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $48.6k to $72.9k per month (mid $60.8k)
- Opportunity score: $60.8k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 384.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $6.7M
- Review sentiment: 51% positive across 12679 reviews (12001 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 139.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 2 months ago
- Last build shipped 14 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 9 sales in the last 12 months
- Proven demand elasticity: x1.4 review velocity during past deep sales

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $110.4k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $96.0k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $86.9k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $60.8k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (24 months)

160, 261, 173, 182, 387, 290, 174, 211, 190, 319, 462, 310, 204, 166, 182, 224, 207, 206, 167, 150, 163, 114, 134, 108

## Markets by review language

- english: 56%
- russian: 4%
- japanese: 2%
- schinese: 16%
- brazilian: 5%
- german: 7%
- koreana: 2%
- spanish: 4%
- french: 4%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2440510
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.