# Avowed

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2457220
- Developer: Obsidian Entertainment
- Publisher: Xbox Game Studios
- Released: 2025 · Genre: RPG · List price: $49.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $73.1k to $109.6k per month (mid $91.4k)
- Opportunity score: $91.4k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 400.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $6.7M
- Review sentiment: 77% positive across 13093 reviews (12500 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 218.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 5 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (15 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 5 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 8 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $165.8k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $144.3k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $130.6k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $91.4k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (18 months)

7029, 1421, 506, 397, 239, 331, 160, 123, 175, 246, 295, 430, 243, 207, 250, 120, 192, 296

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 18 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$387.8k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- german: 5%
- koreana: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 3%
- spanish: 2%
- schinese: 4%
- brazilian: 1%
- french: 3%
- english: 81%
- japanese: 0%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2457220
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
