# BeadsPopper

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2505700
- Developer: T.F.A.N.C.S.
- Publisher:  T.F.A.N.C.S.
- Released: 2023 · Genre: Casual · List price: $3.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $40 to $60 per month (mid $50)
- Opportunity score: $95/month at x1.90 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 992 · Est. lifetime net revenue: $987
- Review sentiment: 70% positive across 33 reviews (31 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 2.7 years
- Studio active elsewhere (4 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 32 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 5 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $90 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $79 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $71 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $50 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (17 months)

6, 2, 2, 0, 1, 2, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 5, 1, 2

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 5 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 17 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$124 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2505700
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.