# Tour de France 2025

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2511320
- Developer: Cyanide Studio
- Publisher: Nacon
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $39.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $3.3k to $5.0k per month (mid $4.1k)
- Opportunity score: $4.1k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 5.8k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $77.2k
- Review sentiment: 77% positive across 253 reviews (180 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 12.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 3 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (12 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 8 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $7.5k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $6.5k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $5.9k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $4.1k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (14 months)

36, 24, 10, 8, 9, 8, 2, 12, 6, 14, 23, 18, 5, 8

## Markets by review language

- japanese: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 36%
- koreana: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 6% (game NOT localized in this language)
- brazilian: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- german: 9%
- english: 35%
- russian: 5% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 5%

Localization gap: 15% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: schinese). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2511320
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
