# Stray Path

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2531940
- Developer: zidong games
- Publisher: Yogscast Games
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $14.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $1.3k to $1.9k per month (mid $1.6k)
- Opportunity score: $1.6k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 29.1k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $146.2k
- Review sentiment: 74% positive across 1053 reviews (909 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 12.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 4 months ago
- Last build shipped 15 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 9 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $2.9k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $2.5k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $2.3k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.6k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (18 months)

501, 88, 36, 31, 15, 9, 33, 23, 25, 52, 20, 24, 9, 12, 12, 20, 13, 10

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 1 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 18 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$942 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 2%
- koreana: 5%
- japanese: 7%
- schinese: 56%
- brazilian: 2%
- german: 1%
- english: 23%
- russian: 4%
- spanish: 1%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2531940
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.