# Scourge of the village

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2531950
- Developer: Triangel Game
- Publisher: Lightning Games
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Indie · List price: $7.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $195 to $292 per month (mid $243)
- Opportunity score: $401/month at x1.65 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 5.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $12.7k
- Review sentiment: 79% positive across 286 reviews (170 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 4.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 20 months
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 20 months ago
- 41% of reviews come from key activations (excluded from revenue estimates)
- Store page localized in only 4 language(s)
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 7 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $442 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $384 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $348 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $243 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (19 months)

98, 11, 10, 6, 4, 1, 7, 1, 0, 4, 2, 2, 0, 3, 6, 2, 6, 3, 5

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 6 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 19 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$3.5k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Estimated acquisition range

$5.8k to $11.7k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $2.9k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 1%
- japanese: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 99%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2531950
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
