# Tears of Adria

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2561500
- Developer: Ark Island Studio
- Released: 2023 · Genre: Action · List price: $13.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $337 to $506 per month (mid $421)
- Opportunity score: $421/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 2.3k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $8.1k
- Review sentiment: 87% positive across 78 reviews (73 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 4.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 1 months ago
- Last build shipped 1 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 5 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $765 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $666 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $602 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $421 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (20 months)

14, 5, 6, 3, 4, 1, 3, 1, 3, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 1, 4, 3, 1, 19

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 9 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 20 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$1.4k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- german: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 91% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 6% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 100% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: english). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2561500
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.