# Lost in Random: The Eternal Die

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2564520
- Developer: Stormteller Games
- Publisher: Thunderful Publishing
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $24.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $2.9k to $4.4k per month (mid $3.7k)
- Opportunity score: $3.7k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 24.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $201.1k
- Review sentiment: 87% positive across 976 reviews (750 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 17.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 2 months ago
- Last build shipped 10 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $6.7k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $5.8k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $5.2k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $3.7k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (14 months)

308, 92, 51, 20, 29, 89, 34, 34, 13, 27, 17, 7, 22, 19

## Markets by review language

- german: 3%
- english: 51%
- schinese: 15%
- french: 5%
- koreana: 1%
- russian: 13%
- spanish: 4%
- japanese: 1%
- brazilian: 6%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2564520
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
