# MOOD

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2566880
- Developer: MAT Affect
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $5.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $362 to $542 per month (mid $452)
- Opportunity score: $452/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 14.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $28.0k
- Review sentiment: 86% positive across 484 reviews (436 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 9.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 3 months ago
- Last build shipped 9 months ago
- Store page localized in only 2 language(s)
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 4 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $820 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $714 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $646 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $452 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (17 months)

187, 43, 29, 22, 19, 15, 8, 8, 33, 33, 26, 10, 11, 8, 12, 9, 4

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 7 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 17 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$8.3k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- german: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 6%
- russian: 93%
- brazilian: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2566880
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.