# Dice Assassin

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2573470
- Developer: Afil Games
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Action · List price: $2.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $73 to $109 per month (mid $91)
- Opportunity score: $118/month at x1.30 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 2.3k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $2.0k
- Review sentiment: 76% positive across 98 reviews (73 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 4.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 5 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (3 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 29 months ago
- Store page localized in only 3 language(s)
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 8 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $165 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $144 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $130 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $91 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (21 months)

17, 16, 0, 1, 2, 2, 3, 2, 0, 2, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 17, 1, 2, 2, 3, 0

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2573470
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.