# Case of the mysterious death of Keiko Haraeda

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2605500
- Developer: sur
- Released: 2023 · Genre: Indie · List price: $2.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $42 to $63 per month (mid $53)
- Opportunity score: $100/month at x1.90 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 4.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $3.3k
- Review sentiment: 57% positive across 149 reviews (137 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 2.9 years
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 34 months ago
- Store page localized in only 3 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $96 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $83 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $75 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $53 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (23 months)

64, 26, 8, 5, 4, 2, 1, 5, 2, 3, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 1, 1, 4, 1, 3, 4, 4

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2605500
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.