# Forbidden Fantasy

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2638560
- Developer: OppaiMan Studios
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $6.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $994 to $1.5k per month (mid $1.2k)
- Opportunity score: $1.6k/month at x1.30 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 46.1k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $94.2k
- Review sentiment: 89% positive across 1471 reviews (1441 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 24.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 5 months ago
- Last build shipped 20 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $2.3k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $2.0k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.8k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.2k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (21 months)

336, 266, 152, 68, 85, 85, 40, 53, 61, 23, 41, 45, 35, 44, 35, 20, 32, 20, 21, 31, 22

## Estimated acquisition range

$29.8k to $59.7k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $14.9k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- russian: 17%
- spanish: 4%
- japanese: 1%
- schinese: 23%
- brazilian: 9%
- german: 1%
- koreana: 2%
- french: 4%
- english: 39%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2638560
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.