# 再见断刀

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2663950
- Developer: 非侠游戏
- Publisher: LoveStoryProject
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $9.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $6.8k to $10.3k per month (mid $8.6k)
- Opportunity score: $8.6k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 80.6k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $270.0k
- Review sentiment: 93% positive across 2707 reviews (2519 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 102.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 1 months ago
- Last build shipped 6 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 11 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $15.5k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $13.5k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $12.2k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $8.6k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (18 months)

154, 353, 188, 178, 184, 165, 93, 100, 67, 122, 101, 234, 148, 161, 85, 72, 97, 50

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 1 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 18 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$14.8k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- schinese: 99%
- english: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- koreana: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2663950
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.