# Indies' Lies 2: Fire Seed

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2670960
- Developer: Fun Square Games
- Publisher: Erabit
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $14.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $1.3k to $1.9k per month (mid $1.6k)
- Opportunity score: $1.6k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 2.3k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $11.7k
- Review sentiment: 80% positive across 149 reviews (73 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 12.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 9 months ago
- Last build shipped 9 months ago
- 51% of reviews come from key activations (excluded from revenue estimates)
- Store page localized in only 4 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $2.9k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $2.5k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $2.2k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.6k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (6 months)

71, 2, 0, 1, 1, 0

## Markets by review language

- french: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 13%
- koreana: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 84%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2670960
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.