# Three Wishes

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2692730
- Developer: Kyuppin
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $11.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $322 to $482 per month (mid $402)
- Opportunity score: $402/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 2.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $9.6k
- Review sentiment: 99% positive across 93 reviews (75 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 4.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 7 months ago
- Last build shipped 7 months ago
- Store page localized in only 4 language(s)
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 4 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $730 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $635 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $575 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $402 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (11 months)

22, 15, 3, 3, 7, 5, 5, 3, 4, 2, 5

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 3 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 11 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$503 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- german: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 83%
- koreana: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)
- brazilian: 3%
- french: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 15% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: russian). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2692730
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.