# Path of Exile 2

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2694490
- Developer: Grinding Gear Games
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Action · List price: $29.99
- Deal grade: A (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $483.1k to $724.7k per month (mid $603.9k)
- Opportunity score: $905.9k/month at x1.50 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 5.3M · Est. lifetime net revenue: $46.7M
- Review sentiment: 75% positive across 224536 reviews (166339 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2755.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Last build shipped 0 months ago
- No Steam discount in 4.0 years (deepest tracked: -0%)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.1M |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $953.8k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $863.2k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $603.9k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (20 months)

79056, 22646, 5586, 3117, 17602, 2931, 1428, 911, 4425, 4917, 2626, 4883, 4328, 3155, 1192, 876, 739, 4752, 6304, 2670

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 11 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 20 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$14.2M net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Estimated acquisition range

$14.5M to $29.0M (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $7.2M/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- german: 5%
- russian: 15%
- japanese: 1%
- brazilian: 6%
- french: 3%
- english: 65%
- koreana: 0%
- spanish: 3%
- schinese: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2694490
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.