# I Want to Believe

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2739150
- Developer: Fang's Lab
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $16.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $285 to $427 per month (mid $356)
- Opportunity score: $356/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.5k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $8.4k
- Review sentiment: 84% positive across 58 reviews (46 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 11 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 11 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 9 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $646 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $562 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $509 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $356 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (9 months)

19, 5, 4, 4, 2, 3, 1, 1, 4

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 3 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 9 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$1.8k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 12%
- german: 15%
- english: 69%
- spanish: 4%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2739150
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.