# Wednesdays

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2747770
- Developer: Pierre Corbinais
- Publisher: ARTE France
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Indie · List price: $9.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $983 to $1.5k per month (mid $1.2k)
- Opportunity score: $1.2k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 9.3k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $31.3k
- Review sentiment: 97% positive across 2027 reviews (292 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 14.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 5 months ago
- Last build shipped 5 months ago
- 86% of reviews come from key activations (excluded from revenue estimates)
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 11 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $2.2k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.9k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.8k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.2k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (17 months)

53, 49, 11, 10, 12, 5, 5, 8, 16, 19, 12, 12, 32, 15, 11, 14, 4

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 4 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 17 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$3.8k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- schinese: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- brazilian: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 52%
- german: 1%
- english: 38%
- koreana: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 5%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2747770
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
