# Seedsow Lullaby

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2748830
- Developer: iMel Inc.
- Publisher: ANIPLEX.EXE
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $20.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $1.1k to $1.7k per month (mid $1.4k)
- Opportunity score: $1.4k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 14.7k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $90.3k
- Review sentiment: 97% positive across 542 reviews (460 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 9.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 2 months ago
- Last build shipped 17 months ago
- Store page localized in only 3 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $2.5k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $2.2k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $2.0k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.4k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (20 months)

112, 70, 53, 41, 20, 27, 15, 18, 11, 11, 17, 15, 8, 8, 11, 3, 4, 8, 13, 15

## Markets by review language

- english: 7%
- koreana: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 10% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 83%

Localization gap: 10% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: japanese). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2748830
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.