# One Lie

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2752750
- Developer: WooDon Studio
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $7.00
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $102 to $153 per month (mid $127)
- Opportunity score: $172/month at x1.35 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $3.4k
- Review sentiment: 75% positive across 52 reviews (45 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 13 months
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 13 months ago
- Store page localized in only 2 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $231 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $201 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $182 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $127 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (20 months)

7, 1, 0, 3, 1, 2, 1, 0, 4, 2, 2, 1, 3, 4, 3, 2, 1, 1, 5, 1

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2752750
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
