# Refuted Wind

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 2796020
- Developer: Tropical Games
- Released: 2024 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $1.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $33 to $49 per month (mid $41)
- Opportunity score: $54/month at x1.30 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 4.7k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $2.7k
- Review sentiment: 77% positive across 155 reviews (147 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 7 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 22 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $75 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $65 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $59 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $41 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (21 months)

34, 18, 16, 3, 5, 4, 6, 4, 3, 2, 9, 2, 4, 10, 8, 3, 7, 3, 2, 1, 1

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/2796020
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.